Robert A. Manning is a distinguished fellow with the Strategic Foresight Hub at the Stimson Center, where he works on its global foresight and China programs.
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, U.S. President Donald Trump and Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull during the South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) summit in Manila on Nov. 13. (Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images)
General Joseph Dunford (L), the chairman of the US joint chiefs of staff, listens to China's President Xi Jinping during a meeting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on August 17, 2017. / AFP PHOTO / POOL / Andy Wong (Photo credit should read ANDY WONG/AFP/Getty Images)